Liberty vs Jacksonville State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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Jacksonville State head coach Ray Harper yells to his players during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Tennessee, Saturday, Dec. 21, 2019, in Knoxville, Tenn. Tennessee won 75-53.
(AP Photo/Wade Payne)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:43 PM
  • Liberty (9-8) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Jacksonville State (8-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Liberty / Jacksonville State TV channel: ESPN+

The Liberty Flames (9-8) visit Pete Mathews Coliseum to take on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (8-9) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Jacksonville, AL.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Liberty vs. Jacksonville State Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Liberty vs. Jacksonville State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Liberty-5.5 -105O 130.5 -105-200
Jacksonville State +5.5 -115U 130.5 -115+165

Liberty vs Jacksonville State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Liberty vs Jacksonville State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Liberty has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+12.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -14.85% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI

Jacksonville State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Jacksonville State has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI).

  • 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.18% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (305 assists/ 186 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Liberty has an eFG% of 58% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 52%

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (349 assists/ 187 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (619 assists/ 364 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Jacksonville State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (225 assists/ 266 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Jacksonville State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (210 assists/ 223 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Jacksonville State has averaged 11.2 assists per game (225 assists/20 games) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.6

Jacksonville State has averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (266 turnovers/20 games) this season — tied for 24th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (999 points/866 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Liberty has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (353/866) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Liberty has allowed 63.3 points per game (1,266 points/20 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Liberty has allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Jacksonville State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Jacksonville State has allowed 64.0 points per game (1,279 points/20 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Jacksonville State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (167/445) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Jacksonville State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (236/761) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Jacksonville State has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (2,242 points/1,871 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.22


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.