Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

min read
College Basketball Betting Previews
(Shutterstock/Melinda Nagy)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 01, 2024, 11:17 AM
  • Liberty (9-9) is a -5.5 point favorite vs New Mexico State (8-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Liberty / New Mexico State TV channel: ESPN+

The Liberty Flames (9-9) visit Pan American Center to take on the New Mexico State Aggies (8-9) on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Las Cruces, NM.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Liberty vs. New Mexico State Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

Bet now on New Mexico State vs Liberty & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Liberty vs. New Mexico State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Liberty-5.5 -105O 136.5 -110-225
New Mexico State +5.5 -115U 136.5 -110+180

Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Liberty vs New Mexico State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on New Mexico State vs Liberty and all games with BetMGM


  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -18.71% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI

New Mexico State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico State has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI).

  • 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -31.6% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.28% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.28% ROI

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has a TS% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 48%

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (349 assists/ 187 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Liberty is shooting 60% from inside the arc (671/1,118) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (619 assists/ 364 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.0

New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State is shooting 44% from inside the arc (173/396) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

New Mexico State has 20.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.4

New Mexico State has made 6.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Mexico State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (251 assists/ 271 TOs) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed 61.8 points per game (3,460 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.0

Liberty has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (353/866) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (999 points/866 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Liberty has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State has allowed 8.3 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

New Mexico State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,088 points/922 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (372/922) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 43%


Bet now on New Mexico State vs Liberty and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you don’t have an account, check out BetMGM’s welcome offer.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.