Little Rock vs Western Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2024, 11:29 AM
  • Western Illinois (11-8) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Little Rock (12-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Little Rock / Western Illinois TV channel: ESPN+

The Little Rock Trojans (12-12) visit Western Hall to take on the Western Illinois Leathernecks (11-8) on Feb. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Macomb, IL.

Western Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Little Rock vs. Western Illinois Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Little Rock vs. Western Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Little Rock+1.5 -105O 139.5 -110+110
Western Illinois -1.5 -115U 139.5 -110-135

Little Rock vs Western Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Little Rock will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Little Rock vs Western Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Little Rock will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Little Rock has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Little Rock have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Western Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 20% ROI)

Little Rock Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Little Rock has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.15 Units / -4.37% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -5.84% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI

Western Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Illinois has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.35 Units / 11.33% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 31.57% ROI
  • 5-13 when betting the Over for -9.3 Units / -44.5% ROI
  • 13-5 when betting the Under for +7.5 Units / 35.89% ROI

Little Rock Offensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has 21.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Little Rock has an eFG% of 52% this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 50%

Little Rock has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (801 assists/ 660 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Little Rock is shooting 45% (1,490/3,316) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%

Western Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Illinois is shooting 61% from the free throw line (286/468) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Illinois is shooting 66% from the free throw line (678/1,028) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Illinois has averaged 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (293 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Western Illinois has 21.3 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Little Rock Defensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (540 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Little Rock has averaged 5.8 steals per game (134 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Little Rock has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (4,229 points/3,195 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Little Rock has allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (1,768 points/1,366 shots) this season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Western Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Illinois has averaged 5.3 steals per game (116 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Western Illinois has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,436 points/1,332 shots) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Western Illinois has averaged 5.3 steals per game (116 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Western Illinois has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,436 points/1,332 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.