Long Beach State vs UC San Diego Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2024, 11:44 AM
  • UC San Diego (9-4) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Long Beach State (7-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Long Beach State / UC San Diego TV channel: ESPN+

The Long Beach State Beach (7-7) visit LionTree Arena to take on the UC San Diego Tritons (9-4) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Diego, CA.

UC San Diego is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Long Beach State vs. UC San Diego Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Long Beach State vs. UC San Diego Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Long Beach State+4.5 -115O 155.5 -105+150
UC San Diego -4.5 -105U 155.5 -115-185

Long Beach State vs UC San Diego Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UC San Diego will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Long Beach State vs UC San Diego Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Long Beach State will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Long Beach State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+17.55 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Long Beach State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UC San Diego has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+14.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • UC San Diego have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • UC San Diego has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UC San Diego have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UC San Diego has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Long Beach State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Long Beach State has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 0% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / 0% ROI

UC San Diego Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UC San Diego has a 9-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / 0% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / 0% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 0% ROI

Long Beach State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Long Beach State has attempted 413 free throws this season — most among Big West Teams

Long Beach State has 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 20.6

Long Beach State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (758/1,121) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 72%

Long Beach State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

UC San Diego Offensive Stats & Trends:

UC San Diego is shooting 76% from the free throw line (214/283) this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 70%

UC San Diego has made 8.9 three-pointers per game this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.4

UC San Diego has a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 47%

UC San Diego has an eFG% of 53% this season — 3rd best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 51%

Long Beach State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Long Beach State has averaged 8.0 steals per game (392 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Long Beach State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (147 steals/16 games) this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Long Beach State has allowed 76.9 points per game (1,231 points/16 games) this season — highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 70.4

Long Beach State has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (428 rebounds/16 games) this season — 4th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 24.3

UC San Diego Defensive Stats & Trends:

UC San Diego has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,050 rebounds/45 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

UC San Diego has averaged 6.0 steals per game (272 steals/45 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

UC San Diego has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (343/970) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 33%

UC San Diego has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (373/881) this season — 3rd best among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.