Louisiana vs Arkansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 13

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The coach from Arkansas State Red Wolves shouting something
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 10:49 AM
  • Arkansas State (9-6) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Louisiana (6-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Louisiana / Arkansas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (6-8) visit First National Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (9-6) on Jan. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Jonesboro, AR.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Louisiana vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Louisiana vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisiana+2.5 -110O 152.5 -110+120
Arkansas State -2.5 -110U 152.5 -110-145

Louisiana vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisiana vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)

Louisiana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana has a 6-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / 0% ROI

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 10-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.55 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / 0% ROI

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana is shooting 37% from three (376/1,008) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana is shooting 37% from three (137/374) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana is shooting 47% (1,400/2,950) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisiana has an eFG% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has made 10.3 three-pointers per game this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Arkansas State has made 165 three-pointers this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State has a TS% of 48% this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%

Arkansas State has averaged 79.1 points per game (1,265 points/16 games) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.6

Louisiana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana has averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (340 rebounds/16 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Louisiana has averaged 7.7 steals per game (385 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Louisiana has 142 steals this season — 3rd most among Sunbelt Teams

Louisiana has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (88 steals/16 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas State has forced 9.8 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/16 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 12.4

Arkansas State has averaged 6.3 steals per game (308 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (443/972) this season — tied for 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.