Louisville vs North Carolina State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2024, 12:09 PM
  • North Carolina State (13-17) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Louisville (12-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Louisville / North Carolina State TV channel: ACCN

The Louisville Cardinals (12-18) visit Capital One Arena to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (13-17) on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EDT in Washington, DC.

North Carolina State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Louisville vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

Bet now on North Carolina State vs Louisville & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Louisville vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville+9.5 -110O 148.5 -110+375
North Carolina State -9.5 -110U 148.5 -110-500

Louisville vs North Carolina State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisville vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on North Carolina State vs Louisville and all games with BetMGM


  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 8 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 away games (+0.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 11-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.75 Units / -22.73% ROI).

  • 8-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -13.13% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Over for -2.55 Units / -7.49% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -1.46% ROI

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 13-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.75 Units / -16.84% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -3.85% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 14.06% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.75 Units / -22.76% ROI

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (259 assists/ 420 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville has averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (473 turnovers/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.7

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (326 assists/ 473 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Louisville has averaged 14.1 turnovers per game (773 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (332/695) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Louisville has averaged 4.9 steals per game (271 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (776/1,648) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Louisville has allowed an average of 1.42 points per shot (1,771 points/1,249 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.26

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (307 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

North Carolina State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (445 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.