Louisville vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

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Wake Forest head coach Steve Forbes cheers on his team during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Virginia in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 11:12 AM
  • Wake Forest (9-7) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Louisville (8-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Louisville / Wake Forest TV channel: ESPNU

The Louisville Cardinals (8-9) visit LJVM Coliseum to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (9-7) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Winston-Salem, NC.

Wake Forest is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-115).

The Louisville vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Louisville vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville+15.5 -105O 152.5 -110+850
Wake Forest -15.5 -115U 152.5 -110-1600

Louisville vs Wake Forest Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisville vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.85 Units / -9.87% ROI).

  • 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 6.41% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI

Wake Forest Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wake Forest has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.25 Units / 1.34% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 11.98% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.35 Units / 17.77% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / -26.42% ROI

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has averaged 4.7 assists per game (228 assists/49 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (194 assists/ 260 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (228 assists/ 377 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (493 assists/ 689 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest is shooting 40% from three (260/649) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Wake Forest is shooting 43% from three (87/204) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Wake Forest has averaged 1.31 points per shot (645 points/493 shots) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Wake Forest has averaged 1.34 points per shot (3,898 points/2,916 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has averaged 4.8 steals per game (237 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Louisville has averaged 5.0 steals per game (149 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Louisville has averaged 4.8 steals per game (237 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Louisville has allowed an average of 1.40 points per shot (1,517 points/1,085 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (192/504) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (231/496) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (59/147) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (45/165) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.