Mercer vs Chattanooga Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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Chattanooga head coach Dan Earl directs his team during the first half of an NCAA men's college basketball championship game against Furman for the Southern Conference tournament, Monday, March 6, 2023, in Asheville, N.C. (AP Photo/Kathy Kmonicek)
(AP Photo/Kathy Kmonicek)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 11:52 AM
  • Chattanooga (14-13) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Mercer (15-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Mercer / Chattanooga TV channel: ESPN+

The Mercer Bears (15-11) visit McKenzie Arena to take on the Chattanooga Mocs (14-13) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Chattanooga, TN.

Chattanooga is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Mercer vs. Chattanooga Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Mercer vs. Chattanooga Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mercer+8.5 -110O 146.5 -110+290
Chattanooga -8.5 -110U 146.5 -110-375

Mercer vs Chattanooga Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Chattanooga will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mercer vs Chattanooga Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mercer will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mercer has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+3.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+6.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Chattanooga have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+2.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 17.9% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 13.99% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.5 Units / -22.73% ROI

Chattanooga Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Chattanooga has a 14-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 4.58% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.35 Units / -7.93% ROI

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has made 6.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Mercer has a TS% of 45% this season — 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Mercer has averaged 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (247 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Mercer has averaged 1.18 points per shot (3,927 points/3,314 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Chattanooga Offensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga is shooting 63% from inside the arc (359/573) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Chattanooga has made 11.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Chattanooga is shooting 63% from inside the arc (359/573) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 54%

Chattanooga is shooting 59% from inside the arc (693/1,173) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 6.3 steals per game (361 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Mercer has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (531 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Mercer has 176 steals this season — 2nd most among Southern Teams

Mercer has 361 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Southern Teams

Chattanooga Defensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,552 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Chattanooga has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,552 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Chattanooga has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (653 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Chattanooga has 160 steals this season — 5th fewest among Southern Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.