Merrimack vs St. Francis (PA) Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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Saint Francis head coach Rob Krimmel watches during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Butler, Thursday, Nov. 17, 2022, in Indianapolis.
(AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:38 PM
  • Merrimack (12-6) is a -9.5 point favorite vs St. Francis (PA) (10-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • Merrimack / St. Francis (PA) TV channel: ESPN+

The Merrimack Warriors (12-6) visit DeGol Arena to take on the St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (10-8) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Loretto, PA.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Merrimack vs. St. Francis (PA) Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

Bet now on St. Francis (PA) vs Merrimack & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Merrimack vs. St. Francis (PA) Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Merrimack-9.5 -105O 131.5 -110-500
St. Francis (PA) +9.5 -115U 131.5 -110+375

Merrimack vs St. Francis (PA) Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 83.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Merrimack vs St. Francis (PA) Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts St. Francis (PA) will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on St. Francis (PA) vs Merrimack and all games with BetMGM


  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+15.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Saint Francis has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 24 games (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Saint Francis have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Saint Francis has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Saint Francis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Saint Francis has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.05 Units / 14% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 12-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.45 Units / 26.08% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 12.34% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.2 Units / -19.95% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.25 Units / 10.84% ROI

St. Francis (PA) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

St. Francis (PA) has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.85 Units / 78.06% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Over for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Under for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack is shooting 29% from three (146/501) this season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Merrimack has averaged 6.3 offensive rebounds per game (346 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Merrimack has averaged 68.1 points per game (1,431 points/21 games) this season — 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Merrimack has averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,431 points/1,156 shots) this season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 1.18

St. Francis (PA) Offensive Stats & Trends:

St. Francis (PA) is shooting 36% from three (373/1,041) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 33%

St. Francis (PA) has averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (267 turnovers/20 games) this season — tied for 22nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

St. Francis (PA) has made 6.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

St. Francis (PA) has 18.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 16.8

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 10.6 steals per game (582 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Merrimack has averaged 10.6 steals per game (582 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Merrimack has averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,175 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Merrimack has averaged 9.6 steals per game (202 steals/21 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

St. Francis (PA) Defensive Stats & Trends:

St. Francis (PA) has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (421 rebounds/20 games) this season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

St. Francis (PA) has allowed 7.4 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th highest among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 7.7

St. Francis (PA) has allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (1,465 points/1,135 shots) this season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

St. Francis (PA) has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (365/1,085) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.