- Merrimack (11-6) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Wagner (7-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 124.5 points
- Merrimack / Wagner TV channel: ESPN+
The Merrimack Warriors (11-6) visit Spiro Sports Center to take on the Wagner Seahawks (7-8) on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Staten Island, NY.
Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Merrimack vs. Wagner Over/Under is 124.5 total points.
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Merrimack vs. Wagner Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Merrimack | -2.5 -110 | O 124.5 -105 | -145 |
| Wagner | +2.5 -110 | U 124.5 -115 | +120 |
Merrimack vs Wagner Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Merrimack vs Wagner Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Wagner will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence for today’s game.
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Merrimack Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+16.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Merrimack has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Merrimack have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Wagner Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Wagner has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Wagner has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Wagner has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wagner has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- Wagner have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Merrimack has a 11-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.45 Units / 22.47% ROI).
- 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 9.91% ROI
- 8-10 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -15.54% ROI
- 10-8 when betting the Under for +1.25 Units / 6.36% ROI
Wagner Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Wagner has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -4.24% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 13.53% ROI
- 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:
Merrimack has averaged 6.3 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6
Merrimack is shooting 29% from three (140/478) this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Merrimack is shooting 57% from inside the arc (269/473) this season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 51%
Merrimack has averaged 64.8 points per game (3,499 points/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5
Wagner Offensive Stats & Trends:
Wagner has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (151 turnovers/17 games) this season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 12.2
Wagner has averaged 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (177 rebounds/17 games) this season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 8.6
Wagner has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (226 assists/ 151 TOs) this season — tied for best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Wagner is shooting 46% from inside the arc (513/1,106) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:
Merrimack has averaged 10.7 steals per game (577 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Merrimack has averaged 10.7 steals per game (577 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Merrimack has averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,154 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Merrimack has 197 steals this season — most among Northeast Teams
Wagner Defensive Stats & Trends:
Wagner has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (113/379) this season — best among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Wagner has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (264/858) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 34%
Wagner has allowed 62.0 points per game (2,790 points/45 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 71.0
Wagner has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (396 rebounds/17 games) this season — 4th best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 23.2
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