Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 30, 2024, 11:30 AM
  • Michigan State (10-9) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Michigan (6-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Michigan / Michigan State TV channel: PEAC

The Michigan Wolverines (6-14) visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans (10-9) on Jan. 30. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in East Lansing, MI.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Michigan vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+12.5 -115O 144.5 -110+575
Michigan State -12.5 -105U 144.5 -110-900

Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 87.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+2.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 6-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.4 Units / -42.73% ROI).

  • 6-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.6 Units / -46.54% ROI
  • 14-6 when betting the Over for +7.4 Units / 33.56% ROI
  • 6-14 when betting the Under for -9.35 Units / -42.6% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.7 Units / -21.69% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1.05 Units / -4.75% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -0.95 Units / -4.34% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 7.1 turnovers per game (135 turnovers/19 games) in the first half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.7

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (386 assists/ 338 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan is shooting 37% from three (167/447) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (128 assists/ 135 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (349 assists/ 204 TOs) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (388/1,015) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has averaged 17.4 assists per game (349 assists/20 games) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Michigan State is shooting 39% from three (194/494) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 4.1 steals per game (77 steals/19 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan has averaged 4.4 steals per game (235 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Michigan has averaged 4.0 steals per game (124 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Michigan has averaged 4.4 steals per game (235 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (202/571) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 41%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (150/483) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (1,603 points/1,553 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (456/1,142) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.