Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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Northwestern head coach Chris Collins coaches against Rutgers during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Sunday, March 5, 2023 in Piscataway, N.J. Northwestern won 65-53. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 12:14 PM
  • Northwestern (13-11) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Michigan (7-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Michigan / Northwestern TV channel: FS1

The Michigan Wolverines (7-19) visit Welsh-Ryan Arena to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (13-11) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Evanston, IL.

Northwestern is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Michigan vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+11.5 -110O 137.5 -110+550
Northwestern -11.5 -110U 137.5 -110-800

Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this college basketball game with 89.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+9.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+3.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+1.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 33 games (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 7-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-13.9 Units / -48.69% ROI).

  • 7-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.9 Units / -45.12% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 10.12% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Under for -5.45 Units / -19.09% ROI

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 13-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 3.15% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 15.96% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Over for +6.1 Units / 21.33% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Under for -8.6 Units / -30.07% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 12.8 turnovers per game (281 turnovers/22 games) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (402 assists/ 369 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (285 assists/ 281 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (146 assists/ 160 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (373 assists/ 211 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northwestern has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (540 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Northwestern has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (211 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (373 assists/ 211 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (86 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (86 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (130 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Michigan has averaged 4.4 steals per game (244 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Northwestern has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Northwestern has 176 steals this season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams

Northwestern has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (1,406 points/1,044 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.25


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.