Michigan vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 23, 2024, 1:34 PM
  • Purdue (11-6) is a -17.5 point favorite vs Michigan (6-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Michigan / Purdue TV channel: PEAC

The Michigan Wolverines (6-12) visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (11-6) on Jan. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in West Lafayette, IN.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-115).

The Michigan vs. Purdue Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+17.5 -105O 152.5 -110+1050
Purdue -17.5 -115U 152.5 -110-2500

Michigan vs Purdue Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 93.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games at home (+12.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 6-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.35 Units / -44.35% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting the Over for +5.4 Units / 27.2% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting the Under for -7.15 Units / -36.2% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 12-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.4 Units / 25.84% ROI).

  • 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 8.08% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting the Over for +6.4 Units / 30.7% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting the Under for -8.35 Units / -39.86% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (386 assists/ 338 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan is shooting 38% from three (158/418) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan has averaged 1.32 points per shot (703 points/532 shots) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.36

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (301 assists/ 271 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,071 points/1,582 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Purdue has averaged 1.42 points per shot (1,616 points/1,141 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Purdue has averaged 1.35 points per shot (4,159 points/3,077 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.26

Purdue has averaged 1.41 points per shot (811 points/576 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 4.5 steals per game (233 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Michigan has averaged 4.0 steals per game (124 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Michigan has averaged 4.5 steals per game (233 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Michigan has averaged 4.2 steals per game (75 steals/18 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,501 points/1,336 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,318 points/1,200 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (3,514 points/3,224 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Purdue has averaged 29.6 defensive rebounds per game (562 rebounds/19 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.