Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 10

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Indiana head coach Mike Woodson directs his team during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Iowa, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa.
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2024, 12:12 PM
  • Michigan State (16-13) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Indiana (14-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Michigan State / Indiana TV channel: CBS

The Michigan State Spartans (16-13) visit Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (14-15) on Mar. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EDT in Bloomington, IN.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-120).

The Michigan State vs. Indiana Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State-3.5 -120O 138.5 -110-190
Indiana +3.5 +100U 138.5 -110+155

Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan State vs Indiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 34 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+4.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.15% ROI).

  • 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.95 Units / -20.95% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -17.5% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.75 Units / 8.37% ROI

Indiana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Indiana has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.45 Units / -4.39% ROI).

  • 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 8.98% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.65 Units / 8.02% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -17.3% ROI

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (414 assists/ 237 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (413/1,076) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (142/372) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has averaged 4.3 turnovers per game (103 turnovers/24 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.2

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana has made 5.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7

Indiana has made 5.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Indiana is shooting 48% (1,605/3,326) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

Indiana is shooting 50% (796/1,593) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (1,575 points/1,348 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (185/586) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Indiana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana has averaged 5.5 steals per game (126 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Indiana has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,541 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Indiana has averaged 5.5 steals per game (126 steals/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Indiana has averaged 6.1 steals per game (239 steals/39 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.