Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 6

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An enthusiastic Minesota Golden Gophers coach
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 06, 2024, 11:03 AM
  • Michigan State (12-9) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Minnesota (18-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Michigan State / Minnesota TV channel: PEAC

The Michigan State Spartans (12-9) visit Williams Arena to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (18-3) on Feb. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Michigan State vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State-3.5 -105O 140.5 -110-160
Minnesota +3.5 -115U 140.5 -110+135

Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan State vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 30 games (+15.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+7.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 12-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.1 Units / 8.68% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.7 Units / -16.65% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.25 Units / -13.37% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1.05 Units / 4.36% ROI

Minnesota Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Minnesota has a 17-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+13.7 Units / 59.31% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 7.43% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (384 assists/ 222 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (401/1,050) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has averaged 17.5 assists per game (384 assists/22 games) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Michigan State is shooting 39% from three (200/514) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (582/908) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Minnesota is shooting 63% from the free throw line (370/588) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (404/630) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (178/278) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% (226/626) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 41%

Michigan State has allowed 28.4 points per game (624 points/22 games) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32.7

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,327/3,211) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (80/268) in the first half this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota has averaged 5.4 steals per game (277 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Minnesota has averaged 5.8 steals per game (192 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Minnesota has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (220/576) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Minnesota has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (1,358 points/1,187 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.18


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.