- Purdue (15-11) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Michigan State (15-12)
- Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
- Michigan State / Purdue TV channel: FOX
The Michigan State Spartans (15-12) visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (15-11) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in West Lafayette, IN.
Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Michigan State vs. Purdue Over/Under is 144.5 total points.
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Michigan State vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Michigan State | +10.5 -110 | O 144.5 -105 | +450 |
| Purdue | -10.5 -110 | U 144.5 -115 | -650 |
Michigan State vs Purdue Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Michigan State vs Purdue Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
Purdue Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in their last 16 games at home (+16.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan State has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 5.84% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.95 Units / -22.09% ROI
- 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.65 Units / -18.28% ROI
- 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.85 Units / 9.28% ROI
Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Purdue has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 12.66% ROI).
- 20-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 6.41% ROI
- 19-9 when betting the Over for +9.1 Units / 29.55% ROI
- 9-19 when betting the Under for -11.9 Units / -38.64% ROI
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (414 assists/ 237 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (413/1,076) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (142/372) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has averaged 4.3 turnovers per game (103 turnovers/24 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.2
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:
Purdue has averaged 18.6 assists per game (428 assists/23 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5
Purdue has averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,963 points/1,366 shots) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.28
Purdue has averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,963 points/1,366 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.29
Purdue has averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,963 points/1,366 shots) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (1,575 points/1,348 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (185/586) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,630 points/1,465 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Purdue has averaged 29.3 defensive rebounds per game (674 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (3,806 points/3,487 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.00 points per shot (1,701 points/1,694 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.10
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