Middle Tennessee vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 8

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A basketball coach with a red t-shirt with a LU logo printed on it
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2024, 11:22 AM
  • Liberty (9-11) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Middle Tennessee (5-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Middle Tennessee / Liberty TV channel: ESPN+

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (5-15) visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames (9-11) on Feb. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Lynchburg, VA.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tennessee+10.5 -105O 130.5 -115+475
Liberty -10.5 -115U 130.5 -105-650

Middle Tennessee vs Liberty Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 87.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Middle Tennessee vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+1.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has a 5-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.5 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.6 Units / -44.76% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Over for -7.35 Units / -33.33% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 24.15% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.05 Units / -13.9% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -19.66% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee is shooting 28% from three (137/495) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Middle Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (201 assists/ 295 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Middle Tennessee has averaged 63.1 points per game (1,326 points/21 games) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Middle Tennessee has averaged 9.6 assists per game (201 assists/21 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (640 assists/ 389 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (305 assists/ 186 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Liberty has a TS% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 48%

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (370 assists/ 212 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee has 375 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Conference USA Teams

Middle Tennessee has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (999 points/866 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Liberty has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (353/866) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Liberty has allowed 62.1 points per game (3,604 points/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Liberty has allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.