Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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Western Kentucky player number 13 defending the basketball from Louisiana Tech player number 22.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:23 AM
  • Western Kentucky (10-8) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Middle Tennessee (5-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Middle Tennessee / Western Kentucky TV channel: ESPNU

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (5-14) visit E.A. Diddle Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (10-8) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Bowling Green, KY.

Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tennessee+6.5 -115O 143.5 -110+200
Western Kentucky -6.5 -105U 143.5 -110-250

Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 28 games (+0.85 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has a 5-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.4 Units / -49.76% ROI).

  • 6-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting the Over for -8.35 Units / -39.86% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting the Under for +6.4 Units / 30.7% ROI

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -4.07% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.15 Units / -25.75% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.45 Units / 17.6% ROI

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee is shooting 28% from three (126/453) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Middle Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (193 assists/ 284 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Middle Tennessee has averaged 67.4 points per game (3,574 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Middle Tennessee has averaged 10.4 assists per game (549 assists/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (299 turnovers/21 games) this season — 11th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Western Kentucky is shooting 47% (624/1,335) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Western Kentucky has averaged 80.4 points per game (1,688 points/21 games) this season — 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.2

Western Kentucky has a TS% of 47% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,181 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Middle Tennessee has 373 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Conference USA Teams

Middle Tennessee has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (595 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Western Kentucky has averaged 26.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,417 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Western Kentucky has 365 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Conference USA Teams

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (164/529) this season — 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.