Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 15

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Western Kentucky player number 13 defending the basketball from Louisiana Tech player number 22.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 15, 2024, 12:03 PM
  • Western Kentucky (17-11) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Middle Tennessee (11-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Middle Tennessee / Western Kentucky TV channel: CBSSN

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (11-19) visit Propst Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (17-11) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EDT in Huntsville, AL.

Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-120).

The Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tennessee+5.5 +100O 150.5 -110+220
Western Kentucky -5.5 -120U 150.5 -110-275

Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has a 11-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.9 Units / -30% ROI).

  • 12-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -16.3% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Over for -3.65 Units / -11.04% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 4% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -4.67% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -3.93% ROI

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee is shooting 28% from three (148/530) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Middle Tennessee has averaged 62.9 points per game (1,447 points/23 games) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Middle Tennessee has averaged 9.3 assists per game (214 assists/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Middle Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (214 assists/ 321 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (321 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 11th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Western Kentucky is shooting 47% (682/1,455) this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Western Kentucky has averaged 80.7 points per game (1,857 points/23 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Western Kentucky is shooting 45% (1,521/3,362) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 45%

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,251 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Middle Tennessee has 384 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Conference USA Teams

Middle Tennessee has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Middle Tennessee has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (647 rebounds/23 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Western Kentucky has 374 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Conference USA Teams

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (182/600) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (485/1,450) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.