Minnesota vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

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Iowa head coach Fran McCaffery, center, reacts after being called for a technical foul during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Indiana, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa.
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 11, 2024, 8:46 AM
  • Iowa (9-14) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Minnesota (19-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Minnesota / Iowa TV channel: BTN

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (19-3) visit Carver-Hawkeye Arena to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (9-14) on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Iowa City, IA.

Iowa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Minnesota vs. Iowa Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Minnesota vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Minnesota+6.5 -110O 154.5 -110+230
Iowa -6.5 -110U 154.5 -110-300

Minnesota vs Iowa Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Minnesota vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 31 games (+16.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+6.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.90 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Minnesota Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Minnesota has a 18-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+14.7 Units / 60.74% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 8.92% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has a 9-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -5.54% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting the Over for +6.2 Units / 24.55% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting the Under for -8.55 Units / -33.73% ROI

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota is shooting 63% from the free throw line (379/603) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (594/927) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (171/269) in the second half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (416/649) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (404 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has averaged 88.1 points per game (2,907 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 75.6

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (326 assists/ 230 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (472 assists/ 256 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (227/594) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Minnesota has averaged 5.7 steals per game (195 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Minnesota has averaged 5.4 steals per game (280 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Minnesota has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (120/315) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,556/3,352) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Iowa has averaged 7.5 steals per game (246 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Iowa has averaged 7.1 steals per game (390 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Iowa has allowed 39.9 points per game (2,195 points/55 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.