Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:43 AM
  • Alabama (13-8) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (10-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Alabama TV channel: SECN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-10) visit Coleman Coliseum to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (13-8) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Tuscaloosa, AL.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Mississippi State vs. Alabama Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

Bet now on Alabama vs Mississippi State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+8.5 -105O 156.5 -110+325
Alabama -8.5 -115U 156.5 -110-450

Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Alabama vs Mississippi State and all games with BetMGM


  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.55 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+3.30 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+7.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+7.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 2.08% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.07% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0.05 Units / 0.22% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 13-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.2 Units / 18.03% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.27% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting the Over for +6.3 Units / 27.21% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting the Under for -8.35 Units / -36.23% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (252/387) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (715/1,075) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (328/1,139) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (715/1,075) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 11.1 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7

Alabama has 1,714 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 280 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 412 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 8.4 steals per game (451 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (132/461) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mississippi State has allowed 60.3 points per game (1,930 points/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.0

Mississippi State has averaged 8.4 steals per game (451 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 30.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,714 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 30.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,714 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,410/3,611) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama has averaged 6.1 steals per game (129 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.7


Bet now on Alabama vs Mississippi State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you donโ€™t have an account, check out BetMGMโ€™s welcome offer.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.