Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:43 AM
  • Alabama (13-8) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (10-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Alabama TV channel: SECN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-10) visit Coleman Coliseum to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (13-8) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Tuscaloosa, AL.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Mississippi State vs. Alabama Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+8.5 -105O 156.5 -110+325
Alabama -8.5 -115U 156.5 -110-450

Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.55 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+3.30 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+7.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+7.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 2.08% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.07% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0.05 Units / 0.22% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 13-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.2 Units / 18.03% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.27% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting the Over for +6.3 Units / 27.21% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting the Under for -8.35 Units / -36.23% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (252/387) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (715/1,075) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (328/1,139) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (715/1,075) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 11.1 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7

Alabama has 1,714 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 280 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 412 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 8.4 steals per game (451 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (132/461) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mississippi State has allowed 60.3 points per game (1,930 points/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.0

Mississippi State has averaged 8.4 steals per game (451 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 30.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,714 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 30.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,714 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,410/3,611) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama has averaged 6.1 steals per game (129 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.