- Florida (7-10) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (9-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Mississippi State / Florida TV channel: SECN
The Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-8) visit Stephen C. O’Connell Center to take on the Florida Gators (7-10) on Jan. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Gainesville, FL.
Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Mississippi State vs. Florida Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | +3.5 -105 | O 154.5 -110 | +140 |
| Florida | -3.5 -115 | U 154.5 -110 | -165 |
Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Florida will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Mississippi State vs Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence for today’s game.
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Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+5.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Florida Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.75 Units / 3% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.15 Units / 0.76% ROI).
- 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 3.08% ROI
- 9-9 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -4.53% ROI
- 9-9 when betting the Under for -0.85 Units / -4.3% ROI
Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Florida has a 7-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.05 Units / -20.4% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -3.56% ROI
- 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 22.22% ROI
- 6-11 when betting the Under for -6.1 Units / -30.81% ROI
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (234/358) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (312/1,088) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (697/1,046) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%
Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (697/1,046) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:
Florida has averaged 16.3 offensive rebounds per game (293 rebounds/18 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.1
Florida has 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 20.1
Florida is shooting 67% from the free throw line (187/279) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%
Florida is shooting 67% from the free throw line (311/464) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (443 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6
Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (112/406) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%
Mississippi State has allowed 62.6 points per game (3,255 points/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 69.2
Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (443 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:
Florida has averaged 6.9 steals per game (350 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Florida has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,381 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Florida has averaged 6.9 steals per game (125 steals/18 games) this season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (216 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5
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