Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 17

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 17, 2024, 11:50 AM
  • Kentucky (10-5) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (9-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN2

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-7) visit Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (10-5) on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Lexington, KY.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

Bet now on Kentucky vs Mississippi State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+6.5 -105O 154.5 -110+240
Kentucky -6.5 -115U 154.5 -110-300

Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 73.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Kentucky vs Mississippi State and all games with BetMGM


  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+2.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -100% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 10-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.5 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -100% ROI
  • 12-3 when betting the Over for +8.7 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 3-12 when betting the Under for -10.2 Units / -100% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (297/1,040) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (112 turnovers/16 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.6

Mississippi State is shooting 66% from the free throw line (228/348) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State is shooting 64% from the free throw line (245/381) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (275 assists/ 145 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky has made 10.3 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.8

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (275 assists/ 145 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Kentucky has averaged 90.8 points per game (1,362 points/15 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 77.2

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has allowed 60.5 points per game (1,875 points/31 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 66.7

Mississippi State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (140 steals/16 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Mississippi State has 140 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among SEC Teams

Mississippi State has averaged 9.0 steals per game (280 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (130/415) this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (55/189) in the second half this season — tied for 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Kentucky has forced 13.4 turnovers per game (201 turnovers/15 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.6

Kentucky has allowed 34.0 points per game (1,666 points/49 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32.0


Bet now on Kentucky vs Mississippi State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you don’t have an account, check out BetMGM’s welcome offer.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.