Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 30

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Texas A&M forward Andersson Garcia (11) guards Mississippi guard Matthew Murrell (11) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Oxford, Miss., Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Texas A&M won 69-61. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 30, 2024, 11:35 AM
  • Ole Miss (11-9) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (10-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Ole Miss TV channel: SECN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-9) visit The Pavilion at Ole Miss to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (11-9) on Jan. 30. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Oxford, MS.

Ole Miss is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+1.5 -120O 138.5 -110-110
Ole Miss -1.5 +100U 138.5 -110-110

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.55 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+5.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+5.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.05 Units / 0.23% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 3.54% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.06% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.15 Units / 5.24% ROI

Ole Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ole Miss has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.05 Units / 4.76% ROI).

  • 15-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.65 Units / 19.04% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -4.11% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.52% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (238/367) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State is shooting 28% from three (320/1,121) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State has averaged 1.13 points per shot (1,383 points/1,226 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Mississippi State is shooting 63% from the free throw line (256/404) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (291 assists/ 200 TOs) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Ole Miss has averaged 4.7 turnovers per game (90 turnovers/19 games) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.5

Ole Miss is shooting 75% from the free throw line (287/383) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Ole Miss has averaged 15.3 assists per game (291 assists/19 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 14.2

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 8.4 steals per game (447 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Mississippi State has averaged 8.4 steals per game (447 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Mississippi State has 447 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th most among Power Conference teams

Mississippi State has 447 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among SEC Teams

Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has averaged 8.7 steals per game (166 steals/19 games) this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Ole Miss has 166 steals this season — 2nd most among SEC Teams

Ole Miss has 401 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among SEC Teams

Ole Miss has averaged 8.2 steals per game (254 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.