- Tennessee (16-14) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (15-16)
- Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
- Mississippi State / Tennessee TV channel: ESPN
The Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-16) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (16-14) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN.
Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).
The Mississippi State vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 142.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | +9.5 -105 | O 142.5 -105 | +400 |
| Tennessee | -9.5 -115 | U 142.5 -115 | -550 |
Mississippi State vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Mississippi State vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Tennessee Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+6.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+2.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.65 Units / -7.52% ROI).
- 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.24% ROI
- 16-16 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -4.54% ROI
- 16-16 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / -4.41% ROI
Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Tennessee has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.65 Units / 1.91% ROI).
- 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.11% ROI
- 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.55 Units / -1.61% ROI
- 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -7.5% ROI
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (271/419) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (750/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:
Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (664 assists/ 398 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (366 assists/ 219 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (967 assists/ 650 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (462 assists/ 292 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Mississippi State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Mississippi State has allowed 60.4 points per game (1,992 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3
Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:
Tennessee has allowed 57.6 points per game (2,073 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3
Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (357/1,273) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,180/3,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%
Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (707/1,990) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%
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