Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2024, 11:27 AM
  • Texas A&M (12-17) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (14-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Texas A&M TV channel: ESPNU

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-14) visit Reed Arena to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (12-17) on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in College Station, TX.

Texas A&M is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+2.5 -105O 139.5 -110+125
Texas A&M -2.5 -115U 139.5 -110-155

Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+1.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.45 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 2.61% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -7.82% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.35 Units / -1.1% ROI

Texas A&M Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas A&M has a 12-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.7 Units / -21% ROI).

  • 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -22 Units / -12.51% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 5.16% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.55 Units / -14.31% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (271/419) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (750/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has averaged 18.4 offensive rebounds per game (387 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Texas A&M is shooting 26% from three (137/518) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Texas A&M is shooting 26% from three (137/518) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Texas A&M has a TS% of 42% this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Mississippi State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Mississippi State has allowed 60.4 points per game (1,992 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has averaged 6.8 steals per game (231 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas A&M has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (177/525) this season — tied for 3rd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas A&M has allowed 34.9 points per game (732 points/21 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.1

Texas A&M has allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (732 points/606 shots) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.