- Alabama State (13-9) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State (9-16)
- Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
- Mississippi Valley State / Alabama State TV channel: ESPN+
The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (9-16) visit Dunn-Oliver Acadome to take on the Alabama State Hornets (13-9) on Feb. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Montgomery, AL.
Alabama State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The Mississippi Valley State vs. Alabama State Over/Under is 128.5 total points.
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Mississippi Valley State vs. Alabama State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi Valley State | +15.5 -110 | O 128.5 -105 | + |
| Alabama State | -15.5 -110 | U 128.5 -115 | + |
Mississippi Valley State vs Alabama State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Alabama State will win this college basketball game with 94.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Mississippi Valley State vs Alabama State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama State will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.
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Mississippi Valley State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 away games (+2.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Alabama State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi Valley State has a 9-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.6 Units / -31.33% ROI).
- 0-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -100% ROI
- 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.35 Units / -15.85% ROI
- 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.9% ROI
Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Alabama State has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.15 Units / 13.04% ROI).
- 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -17.72% ROI
- 9-13 when betting the Over for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI
- 13-9 when betting the Under for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 54.0 points per game (1,189 points/22 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.6
Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (500 assists/ 841 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.8
Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (500 assists/ 841 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.5 (179 assists/ 345 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama State is shooting 38% (1,227/3,253) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Alabama State has averaged 1.06 points per shot (1,522 points/1,439 shots) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Alabama State is shooting 38% (544/1,439) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Alabama State has an eFG% of 43% since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,105 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.5
Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.46 points per shot (1,793 points/1,227 shots) this season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.33
Mississippi Valley State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% from three (59/132) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 19.1 defensive rebounds per game (421 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama State has averaged 24.5 defensive rebounds per game (540 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Alabama State has averaged 7.1 steals per game (377 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Alabama State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (486/1,167) this season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 45%
Alabama State has 199 steals this season — 4th most among SWAC Teams
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