Mississippi Valley State vs Alcorn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

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A man in a blue top and the No 4 Texas Alcorn player standing with their hands on their hips
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2024, 1:39 PM
  • Alcorn State (16-12) is a -18.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State (12-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Mississippi Valley State / Alcorn State TV channel: ESPN+

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (12-17) visit David L. Whitney Complex to take on the Alcorn State Braves (16-12) on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Lorman, MS.

Alcorn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-105).

The Mississippi Valley State vs. Alcorn State Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Mississippi Valley State vs. Alcorn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi Valley State+18.5 -115O 132.5 -105+1200
Alcorn State -18.5 -105U 132.5 -115-3000

Mississippi Valley State vs Alcorn State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alcorn State will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi Valley State vs Alcorn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alcorn State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Alcorn State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alcorn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Alcorn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+2.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Alcorn State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Alcorn State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)

Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi Valley State has a 12-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.7 Units / -21.04% ROI).

  • 1-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.25 Units / -72.06% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.65 Units / -20.88% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.89% ROI

Alcorn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alcorn State has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -1.36% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI

Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 54.0 points per game (1,189 points/22 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (500 assists/ 841 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.8

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (500 assists/ 841 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.5 (179 assists/ 345 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Alcorn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alcorn State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Alcorn State has averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (653 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 13.7

Alcorn State has averaged 11.2 turnovers per game (257 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 13.2

Alcorn State has made 5.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,105 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.5

Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.46 points per shot (1,793 points/1,227 shots) this season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.33

Mississippi Valley State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% from three (59/132) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 19.1 defensive rebounds per game (421 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Alcorn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alcorn State has allowed 10.5 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.7

Alcorn State has allowed 10.5 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Alcorn State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (241/636) this season — tied for 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Alcorn State has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (508 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.