Missouri vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

AP Photos
  • Alabama (9-7) is a -14.5 point favorite vs Missouri (4-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Missouri / Alabama TV channel: SECN

The Missouri Tigers (4-12) visit Coleman Coliseum to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (9-7) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Tuscaloosa, AL.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Missouri vs. Alabama Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri+14.5 -110O 161.5 -110+825
Alabama -14.5 -110U 161.5 -110-1400

Missouri vs Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 92.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+6.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 12 away games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+6.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 4-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.15 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / -100% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • 11-5 when betting the Over for +5.5 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 5-11 when betting the Under for -7.1 Units / -100% ROI

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has a 27% free throw rate (260 free throw attempts/974 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri has a 27% free throw rate (260 free throw attempts/974 field goal attempts) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri has a 28% free throw rate (868 free throw attempts/3,066 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Missouri has an eFG% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 186 three-pointers this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 388 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 11.6 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.8

Alabama has made 108 three-pointers in the first half this season — most among SEC Teams

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has forced 16.2 turnovers per game (826 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (1,163 points/909 shots) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Missouri has averaged 9.7 steals per game (494 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (2,568 points/2,045 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.14

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 30.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,613 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Alabama has averaged 30.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,613 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.8

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,297/3,364) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (316/1,081) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.