Missouri State vs Indiana State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 12:17 PM
  • Indiana State (10-6) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Missouri State (9-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Missouri State / Indiana State TV channel: ESPN+

The Missouri State Bears (9-7) visit Hulman Center to take on the Indiana State Sycamores (10-6) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Terre Haute, IN.

Indiana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Missouri State vs. Indiana State Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Missouri State vs. Indiana State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri State+12.5 -110O 153.5 -105+575
Indiana State -12.5 -110U 153.5 -115-800

Missouri State vs Indiana State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Indiana State will win this college basketball game with 87.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri State vs Indiana State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 away games (+0.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+17.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 33 games (+13.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Indiana State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Indiana State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.85 Units / 22% ROI)

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 8-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / -100% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / -100% ROI

Indiana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Indiana State has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.35 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 11-5 when betting the Over for +5.5 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 5-11 when betting the Under for -7 Units / -100% ROI

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has 511 defensive rebounds this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State is shooting 33% from three (383/1,178) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State is shooting 31% from three (129/411) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has attempted 411 threes this season — tied for 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has made 200 three-pointers this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has attempted 485 threes this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has made 200 three-pointers this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has attempted 1,444 threes since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has forced 9.6 turnovers per game (164 turnovers/17 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,166 points/1,082 shots) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,166 points/1,082 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (108/372) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%

Indiana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,461 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Indiana State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,229 points/1,045 shots) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Indiana State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (3,736 points/3,162 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,352/3,162) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.