Missouri State vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

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No 24 from Murray State Racers catching the NBA game ball
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2024, 11:49 AM
  • Murray State (10-14) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Missouri State (14-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Missouri State / Murray State TV channel: ESPN+

The Missouri State Bears (14-10) visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers (10-14) on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Murray, KY.

Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Missouri State vs. Murray State Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Missouri State vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri State+3.5 -110O 137.5 -110+145
Murray State -3.5 -110U 137.5 -110-175

Missouri State vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri State vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+6.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Missouri State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+3.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+9.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 7.56% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 10.53% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.45 Units / -20.6% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -25.8% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Over for -7.6 Units / -28.57% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Under for +5.2 Units / 19.85% ROI

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has 602 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State has averaged 68.1 points per game (3,812 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Missouri State is shooting 31% from three (174/556) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has averaged 11.8 assists per game (658 assists/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (232 turnovers/25 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Murray State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (232 turnovers/25 games) this season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Murray State has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (578 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Murray State has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (605 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Missouri State has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (706 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,703 points/1,501 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Missouri State has averaged 4.5 steals per game (108 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has 153 steals this season — tied for 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (328 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Murray State has forced 11.4 turnovers per game (652 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (465/1,367) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.