Morehead State vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 21

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Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 20, 2024, 6:01 PM
  • March Madness 1st Round betting odds & predictions
  • Illinois (18-13) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Morehead State (19-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Morehead State / Illinois TV channel: truTV

The Morehead State Eagles (19-11) visit CHI Health Center Omaha to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (18-13) on Mar. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Omaha, NE.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (+100).

The Morehead State vs. Illinois Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Morehead State vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Morehead State+12.5 -120O 147.5 -110+575
Illinois -12.5 +100U 147.5 -110-900

Morehead State vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 89.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Morehead State vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Morehead State will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Morehead State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 games (+1.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 27 games (+16.45 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+15.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 games (+14.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Morehead State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morehead State has a 18-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.85 Units / 17.7% ROI).

  • 21-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 1.9% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.55 Units / -4.68% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.45 Units / -4.41% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.65 Units / 9.75% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 4% ROI
  • 24-10 when betting the Over for +12.95 Units / 34.58% ROI
  • 10-24 when betting the Under for -16.4 Units / -43.91% ROI

Morehead State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has made 9.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Morehead State has an eFG% of 52% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 50%

Morehead State has an eFG% of 55% this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 50%

Morehead State has a TS% of 50% this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 22.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (446/1,389) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,896 points/1,449 shots) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (246 assists/ 248 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Morehead State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has allowed 64.9 points per game (3,762 points/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Morehead State has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (650 rebounds/24 games) this season — 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Morehead State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (140 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Morehead State has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,496 points/1,370 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,620 points/1,482 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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