Morehead State vs Little Rock Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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Darrell Walker Arkansas Little Rock
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:48 AM
  • Morehead State (18-11) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Little Rock (19-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Morehead State / Little Rock TV channel: ESPN2

The Morehead State Eagles (18-11) visit Ford Center to take on the Little Rock Trojans (19-13) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Evansville, IN.

Morehead State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-120).

The Morehead State vs. Little Rock Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Morehead State vs. Little Rock Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Morehead State-3.5 -120O 137.5 -115-190
Little Rock +3.5 +100U 137.5 -105+155

Morehead State vs Little Rock Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Morehead State will win this college basketball game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Morehead State vs Little Rock Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Little Rock will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Morehead State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 away games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Little Rock have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Little Rock have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.85 Units / 55% ROI)

Morehead State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morehead State has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.85 Units / 15.18% ROI).

  • 20-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 1.07% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.45 Units / -1.41% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.45 Units / -7.7% ROI

Little Rock Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Little Rock has a 19-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.75 Units / 13.53% ROI).

  • 21-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 7.16% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.42% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -7.25% ROI

Morehead State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has made 9.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Morehead State has an eFG% of 52% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 50%

Morehead State has an eFG% of 55% this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 50%

Morehead State has a TS% of 50% this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Little Rock Offensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has made 6.9 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Little Rock has averaged 14.7 assists per game (808 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.0

Little Rock has a TS% of 48% this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Little Rock has averaged 14.5 assists per game (348 assists/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Morehead State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has allowed 64.9 points per game (3,762 points/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Morehead State has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (650 rebounds/24 games) this season — 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Morehead State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (140 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Morehead State has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,496 points/1,370 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Little Rock Defensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (563 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Little Rock has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (4,289 points/3,258 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Little Rock has averaged 5.8 steals per game (140 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Little Rock has allowed 76.2 points per game (1,828 points/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 70.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.