Morehead State vs Tennessee State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

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Man wearing a formal jacket, pointing towards a playing side on the basketball field
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 01, 2024, 11:37 AM
  • Morehead State (13-4) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Tennessee State (7-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Morehead State / Tennessee State TV channel: ESPN+

The Morehead State Eagles (13-4) visit Gentry Center to take on the Tennessee State Tigers (7-10) on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Nashville, TN.

Morehead State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Morehead State-4.5 -105O 137.5 -110-190
Tennessee State +4.5 -115U 137.5 -110+155

Morehead State vs Tennessee State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Morehead State will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Morehead State vs Tennessee State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee State will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Morehead State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games (+21.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 28 games (+15.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+14.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+3.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Tennessee State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)

Morehead State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morehead State has a 13-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.6 Units / 45.99% ROI).

  • 12-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 19.93% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.85 Units / -9.92% ROI

Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee State has a 7-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -3.89% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI

Morehead State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has made 9.3 three-pointers per game this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Morehead State has a TS% of 50% this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Morehead State has an eFG% of 55% this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 50%

Morehead State is shooting 47% (560/1,194) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%

Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (254 assists/ 241 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee State is shooting 75% from the free throw line (290/386) this season — 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Tennessee State has made 8.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Tennessee State has averaged 1.28 points per shot (4,016 points/3,134 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Morehead State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has allowed 65.3 points per game (3,528 points/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 72.7

Morehead State has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,392 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Morehead State has averaged 6.0 steals per game (119 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Morehead State has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (547 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (461 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Tennessee State has averaged 6.5 steals per game (130 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Tennessee State has 130 steals this season — 5th most among Ohio Valley Teams

Tennessee State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (486/1,147) this season — 5th highest among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.