Morehead State vs Western Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 12:25 PM
  • Morehead State (15-9) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Western Illinois (13-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 127.5 points
  • Morehead State / Western Illinois TV channel: ESPN+

The Morehead State Eagles (15-9) visit Western Hall to take on the Western Illinois Leathernecks (13-10) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Macomb, IL.

Morehead State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Over/Under is 127.5 total points.

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Morehead State-4.5 -110O 127.5 -110-210
Western Illinois +4.5 -110U 127.5 -110+170

Morehead State vs Western Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Morehead State will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Morehead State vs Western Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Illinois will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Morehead State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+10.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+15.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Western Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 26 games (+13.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.70 Units / 22% ROI)

Morehead State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morehead State has a 14-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.05 Units / 15.31% ROI).

  • 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -3.12% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.54% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -4.36% ROI

Western Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Illinois has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.15 Units / 8.55% ROI).

  • 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 24.33% ROI
  • 5-17 when betting the Over for -13.7 Units / -54.15% ROI
  • 17-5 when betting the Under for +11.5 Units / 45.45% ROI

Morehead State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has made 9.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Morehead State has an eFG% of 52% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 50%

Morehead State has an eFG% of 55% this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 50%

Morehead State has a TS% of 50% this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Western Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Illinois is shooting 60% from the free throw line (299/495) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Illinois has averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (318 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Western Illinois is shooting 66% from the free throw line (691/1,055) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Illinois has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Morehead State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has allowed 64.9 points per game (3,762 points/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Morehead State has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (650 rebounds/24 games) this season — 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Morehead State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (140 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Morehead State has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,496 points/1,370 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Western Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Illinois has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (633 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Western Illinois has averaged 5.4 steals per game (130 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Western Illinois has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,561 points/1,445 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Western Illinois has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,561 points/1,445 shots) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.