Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 18, 2024, 8:40 AM
  • Fairfield (10-14) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Mount St. Mary’s (10-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Mount St. Mary’s / Fairfield TV channel: ESPN+

The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (10-15) visit Leo D. Mahoney Arena to take on the Fairfield Stags (10-14) on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Fairfield, CT.

Fairfield is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Mount St. Mary’s vs. Fairfield Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

Bet now on Fairfield vs Mount St. Mary’s & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Mount St. Mary’s vs. Fairfield Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mount St. Mary’s+4.5 -110O 145.5 -110+165
Fairfield -4.5 -110U 145.5 -110-200

Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Fairfield will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mount St. Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+6.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.40 Units / 7% ROI)

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary’s has a 10-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -20.15% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI

Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fairfield has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.4 Units / -20.49% ROI).

  • 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.9 Units / 25.26% ROI
  • 16-8 when betting the Over for +7.2 Units / 27.32% ROI
  • 8-16 when betting the Under for -9.65 Units / -36.48% ROI

Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has 14.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.4

Mount St. Mary’s has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (705 assists/ 755 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Mount St. Mary’s has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (705 assists/ 755 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Mount St. Mary’s has 14.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.4

Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield has attempted 592 threes this season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield has made 217 three-pointers this season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fairfield has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,557 points/1,262 shots) this season — 5th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 6.5 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.9

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 6.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.7

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 70.8 points per game (1,557 points/22 games) this season — 3rd best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.7

Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield has averaged 8.0 steals per game (193 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Fairfield has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (325/1,061) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Fairfield has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Fairfield has 193 steals this season — 2nd most among MAAC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.