Mount St. Mary’s vs Siena Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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Man in suit looking nervously at the basketball game
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 1:03 PM
  • Mount St. Mary’s (9-12) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Siena (7-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Mount St. Mary’s / Siena TV channel: ESPN+

The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (9-12) visit MVP Arena to take on the Siena Saints (7-14) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Albany, NY.

Mount St. Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Mount St. Mary’s vs. Siena Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Mount St. Mary’s vs. Siena Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mount St. Mary’s-8.5 -110O 135.5 -110-450
Siena +8.5 -110U 135.5 -110+310

Mount St. Mary’s vs Siena Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mount St. Mary’s vs Siena Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mount St. Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Siena has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Siena has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary’s has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -33.86% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Over for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Under for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI

Siena Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Siena has a 7-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.4 Units / -36.44% ROI).

  • 3-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.1 Units / -60.39% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -13.42% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 4.76% ROI

Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has 14.4 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.3

Mount St. Mary’s has 14.4 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.3

Mount St. Mary’s has a 25% free throw rate (761 free throw attempts/2,991 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 30%

Mount St. Mary’s is shooting 54% from inside the arc (314/579) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 50%

Siena Offensive Stats & Trends:

Siena is shooting 26% from three (101/387) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Siena has averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (342 turnovers/21 games) this season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Siena has averaged 60.5 points per game (1,270 points/21 games) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 70.8

Siena has made 4.8 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (466 rebounds/20 games) this season — 5th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Mount St. Mary’s has forced 13.1 turnovers per game (262 turnovers/20 games) this season — 4th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 12.3

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 70.9 points per game (1,418 points/20 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.8

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (497/1,141) this season — 5th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Siena Defensive Stats & Trends:

Siena has averaged 5.2 steals per game (110 steals/21 games) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Siena has averaged 22.7 defensive rebounds per game (477 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Siena has forced 9.8 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/21 games) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 12.3

Siena has averaged 5.2 steals per game (110 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.