Murray State vs Southern Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2024, 10:26 AM
  • Southern Illinois (17-8) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Murray State (11-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Murray State / Southern Illinois TV channel: ESPN+

The Murray State Racers (11-15) visit Banterra Center to take on the Southern Illinois Salukis (17-8) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Carbondale, IL.

Southern Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Murray State vs. Southern Illinois Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Murray State vs. Southern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Murray State+4.5 -110O 135.5 -105+165
Southern Illinois -4.5 -110U 135.5 -115-200

Murray State vs Southern Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Southern Illinois will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Murray State vs Southern Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Southern Illinois will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+3.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+2.40 Units / 5% ROI)

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.55 Units / -19.37% ROI).

  • 10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -24.3% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -19.41% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Under for +3.05 Units / 10.76% ROI

Southern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Illinois has a 17-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.2 Units / 28.67% ROI).

  • 16-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.55% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 14.01% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.55 Units / -22.86% ROI

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (232 turnovers/25 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Murray State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (232 turnovers/25 games) this season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Murray State has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (578 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Murray State has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Southern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois is shooting 36% from three (199/545) this season — 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Southern Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (340 assists/ 280 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Southern Illinois is shooting 76% from the free throw line (373/488) this season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Southern Illinois is shooting 36% from three (199/545) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 35%

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has 153 steals this season — tied for 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (328 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Murray State has forced 11.4 turnovers per game (652 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (465/1,367) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Southern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has averaged 6.5 steals per game (371 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Southern Illinois has 371 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Southern Illinois has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Southern Illinois has averaged 5.5 steals per game (133 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.