Nebraska vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 12:30 PM
  • Illinois (11-7) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Nebraska (13-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Nebraska / Illinois TV channel: BTN

The Nebraska Cornhuskers (13-9) visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (11-7) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Champaign, IL.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Nebraska vs. Illinois Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Nebraska vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nebraska+9.5 -110O 153.5 -110+375
Illinois -9.5 -110U 153.5 -110-500

Nebraska vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Nebraska vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Nebraska has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+23.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+3.85 Units / 6% ROI)

Nebraska Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nebraska has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.15 Units / 13.04% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 12.07% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting the Over for +6.3 Units / 26.03% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting the Under for -8.4 Units / -34.71% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 11-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.3 Units / 14.32% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.82% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Over for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Under for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nebraska is shooting 65% from the free throw line (197/303) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Nebraska has made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Nebraska has made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7

Nebraska has attempted 305 threes in the first half this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (288 rebounds/21 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (676 assists/ 658 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Illinois has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,729 points/1,319 shots) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois has averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (288 rebounds/21 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nebraska has allowed 9.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.5

Nebraska has allowed 10.0 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Nebraska has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,545 points/1,384 shots) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Nebraska has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,465 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (626 rebounds/21 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,448 points/1,359 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,448 points/1,359 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (626 rebounds/21 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.