Nevada vs Boise State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 11:46 AM
  • Boise State (15-11) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Nevada (19-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Nevada / Boise State TV channel: FS1

The Nevada Wolf Pack (19-10) visit ExtraMile Arena to take on the Boise State Broncos (15-11) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Boise, ID.

Boise State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Nevada vs. Boise State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Nevada vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nevada+5.5 -110O 141.5 -110+200
Boise State -5.5 -110U 141.5 -110-250

Nevada vs Boise State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Nevada vs Boise State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+4.50 Units / 24% ROI)

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 20-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.15 Units / 31.92% ROI).

  • 24-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.95 Units / 14.08% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.75 Units / -21.09% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.85 Units / 12.11% ROI

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 10.1% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.15 Units / 12.54% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -1.18% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.09% ROI

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has a 42% free throw rate (1,310 free throw attempts/3,135 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada has 25.1 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6

Nevada has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (570 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Nevada has a TS% of 47% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State is shooting 35% from three (169/487) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Boise State is shooting 46% (573/1,255) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

Boise State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (659 assists/ 632 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Boise State has averaged 11.6 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,589 points/1,348 shots) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Nevada has allowed 66.2 points per game (1,589 points/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (128/426) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,645 points/3,142 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Boise State has allowed 65.8 points per game (1,447 points/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Boise State has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.