Nevada vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 21

Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • March Madness 1st Round betting odds & predictions
  • Nevada (21-11) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Dayton (15-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Nevada / Dayton TV channel: TBS

The Nevada Wolf Pack (21-11) visit Delta Center to take on the Dayton Flyers (15-15) on Mar. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EDT in Salt Lake City, UT.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Nevada vs. Dayton Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Nevada vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nevada-1.5 -105O 136.5 -110-120
Dayton +1.5 -115U 136.5 -110+100

Nevada vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Nevada vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games (+20.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+11.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games (+12.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 22-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+11.1 Units / 31.67% ROI).

  • 26-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.05 Units / 14.33% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting the Over for -3.75 Units / -10.62% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting the Under for +0.55 Units / 1.57% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 15-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -4.4% ROI).

  • 23-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.9 Units / 9.39% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.85 Units / 14.26% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.85 Units / -22.95% ROI

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has a 42% free throw rate (1,310 free throw attempts/3,135 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada has 25.1 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6

Nevada has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (570 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Nevada has a TS% of 47% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (851 assists/ 627 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (333 assists/ 216 TOs) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,589 points/1,348 shots) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Nevada has allowed 66.2 points per game (1,589 points/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,480 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (282 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.