Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2024, 10:56 AM
  • New Mexico (14-5) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Nevada (12-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Nevada / New Mexico TV channel: FS1

The Nevada Wolf Pack (12-7) visit The Pit to take on the New Mexico Lobos (14-5) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Albuquerque, NM.

New Mexico is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Nevada vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Nevada vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nevada+8.5 -115O 153.5 -110+280
New Mexico -8.5 -105U 153.5 -110-375

Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Nevada vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+6.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+3.40 Units / 5% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 13-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.45 Units / 31.01% ROI).

  • 16-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 11.33% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Over for -6.25 Units / -29.76% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Under for +4.35 Units / 20.91% ROI

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has a 12-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI).

  • 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 2.65% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (524 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Nevada has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (187 turnovers/20 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Nevada has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Nevada has 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 20.1

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has made 5.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Mexico has averaged 82.1 points per game (4,433 points/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

New Mexico has averaged 10.9 turnovers per game (590 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5

New Mexico has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (314 assists/ 208 TOs) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (527 rebounds/20 games) this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.4

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (1,311 points/1,125 shots) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (3,549 points/2,961 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Nevada has allowed 7.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.9

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has forced 16.2 turnovers per game (323 turnovers/20 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.7

New Mexico has 203 steals this season — most among Mountain West Teams

New Mexico has averaged 10.2 steals per game (203 steals/20 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.9

New Mexico has averaged 10.2 steals per game (203 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.