New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 16, 2024, 7:59 AM
  • San Diego State (10-13) is a -6.5 point favorite vs New Mexico (17-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • New Mexico / San Diego State TV channel: FS1

The New Mexico Lobos (17-7) visit Viejas Arena to take on the San Diego State Aztecs (10-13) on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Diego, CA.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The New Mexico vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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New Mexico vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico+6.5 -110O 152.5 -110+
San Diego State -6.5 -110U 152.5 -110+

New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

New Mexico vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games (+10.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 36 games (+22.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+11.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has a 15-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -5.1% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -16.96% ROI).

  • 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.8 Units / 10.23% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.92% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.35 Units / -17.16% ROI

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has made 6.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Mexico has averaged 84.4 points per game (1,942 points/23 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

New Mexico has averaged 84.4 points per game (1,942 points/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.2

New Mexico has 23.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

San Diego State has a TS% of 47% this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

San Diego State is shooting 45% (627/1,393) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

San Diego State has 22.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 9.7 steals per game (223 steals/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.8

New Mexico has 223 steals this season — most among Mountain West Teams

New Mexico has forced 15.5 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

New Mexico has forced 15.5 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/23 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (29/108) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (417/1,428) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,443/3,522) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (417/1,428) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.