New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 29

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A basketball coach with a red t-shirt with a LU logo printed on it
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 29, 2024, 12:42 PM
  • Liberty (11-13) is a -13.5 point favorite vs New Mexico State (9-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • New Mexico State / Liberty TV channel: CBSSN

The New Mexico State Aggies (9-14) visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames (11-13) on Feb. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Lynchburg, VA.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The New Mexico State vs. Liberty Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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New Mexico State vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico State+13.5 -110O 136.5 -110+700
Liberty -13.5 -110U 136.5 -110-1100

New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 92.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

New Mexico State vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+0.70 Units / 1% ROI)

New Mexico State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico State has a 9-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.4 Units / -24.2% ROI).

  • 7-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -31.19% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.33% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -12.17% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -20.55% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 11.32% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -20.15% ROI

New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (270 assists/ 290 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

New Mexico State is shooting 45% from inside the arc (190/425) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

New Mexico State has averaged 11.7 assists per game (270 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

New Mexico State is shooting 35% from three (128/364) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (660 assists/ 395 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Liberty has a TS% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 48%

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (390 assists/ 218 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Liberty has made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (372/922) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 43%

New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (740/1,751) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 43%

New Mexico State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,088 points/922 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed 62.0 points per game (3,657 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (999 points/866 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Liberty has allowed 63.6 points per game (1,463 points/23 games) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Liberty has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.