New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

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Western Kentucky player number 13 defending the basketball from Louisiana Tech player number 22.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 11:20 AM
  • Western Kentucky (16-11) is a -6.5 point favorite vs New Mexico State (11-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • New Mexico State / Western Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+

The New Mexico State Aggies (11-15) visit Propst Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (16-11) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Huntsville, AL.

Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico State+6.5 -115O 147.5 -110+225
Western Kentucky -6.5 -105U 147.5 -110-275

New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+8.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)

New Mexico State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico State has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -18.49% ROI).

  • 9-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -17.54% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.38% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -4.38% ROI

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 2.25% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.45 Units / -8.18% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.34% ROI

New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (270 assists/ 290 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

New Mexico State is shooting 45% from inside the arc (190/425) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

New Mexico State has averaged 11.7 assists per game (270 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

New Mexico State is shooting 35% from three (128/364) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (321 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 11th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Western Kentucky is shooting 47% (682/1,455) this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Western Kentucky has averaged 80.7 points per game (1,857 points/23 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Western Kentucky is shooting 45% (1,521/3,362) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 45%

New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (372/922) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 43%

New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (740/1,751) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 43%

New Mexico State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,088 points/922 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (647 rebounds/23 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Western Kentucky has 374 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Conference USA Teams

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (182/600) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (485/1,450) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.