North Carolina State vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 13

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Louisville head coach Kenny Payne argues with a game official during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 10:13 AM
  • North Carolina State (7-8) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Louisville (6-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • North Carolina State / Louisville TV channel: CW

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (7-8) visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals (6-9) on Jan. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Louisville, KY.

North Carolina State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The North Carolina State vs. Louisville Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State-7.5 -110O 146.5 -110-350
Louisville +7.5 -110U 146.5 -110+270

North Carolina State vs Louisville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 0% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.75 Units / 0% ROI

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 5-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.85 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 0% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / 0% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (132 turnovers/15 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (454 turnovers/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.8

North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (132 turnovers/15 games) this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (454 turnovers/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (184 assists/ 247 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (472 assists/ 666 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (288 assists/ 419 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Louisville has averaged 4.7 assists per game (221 assists/47 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (114 steals/15 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

North Carolina State has 380 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.7 steals per game (261 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

North Carolina State has 114 steals this season — 5th most among ACC Teams

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has averaged 4.8 steals per game (227 steals/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 50% (509/1,025) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Louisville has averaged 4.9 steals per game (143 steals/29 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Louisville has averaged 5.5 steals per game (82 steals/15 games) this season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.