North Carolina State vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 16

min read
North Carolina head coach Hubert Davis directs his team against Boston College during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Chris Seward)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2024, 9:58 AM
  • North Carolina (19-14) is a -9.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (16-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • North Carolina State / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (16-18) visit Capital One Arena to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-14) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Washington, DC.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

Bet now on North Carolina vs North Carolina State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+9.5 -115O 145.5 -115+360
North Carolina -9.5 -105U 145.5 -105-500

North Carolina State vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 80.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on North Carolina vs North Carolina State and all games with BetMGM


  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+4.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 27 games (+9.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 16-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.9 Units / -10.1% ROI).

  • 17-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 6.73% ROI
  • 20-14 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 11.93% ROI
  • 14-20 when betting the Under for -7.95 Units / -20.68% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 19-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.55 Units / 9.75% ROI).

  • 23-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 6.5% ROI
  • 15-18 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -13.46% ROI
  • 18-15 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 4.14% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has 677 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,302 free throw attempts/3,445 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (307 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

North Carolina State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (445 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (807 points/717 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.30

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (282/717) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1


Bet now on North Carolina vs North Carolina State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you don’t have an account, check out BetMGM’s welcome offer.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.