North Carolina State vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – March Madness

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 04, 2024, 10:32 AM
  • March Madness prediction & Final Four betting odds
  • Purdue (20-15) is a -9.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (20-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • North Carolina State / Purdue TV channel: TBS

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (20-19) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (20-15) on Apr. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 6:09pm EDT in Glendale, AZ.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The North Carolina State vs. Purdue Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+9.5 -115O 145.5 -105+350
Purdue -9.5 -105U 145.5 -115-450

North Carolina State vs Purdue Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games (+19.90 Units / 134% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 31 games (+15.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games (+10.65 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.25 Units / 22% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 20-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -2.27% ROI).

  • 22-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.15 Units / 19.88% ROI
  • 23-16 when betting the Over for +5.4 Units / 12.26% ROI
  • 16-23 when betting the Under for -9.25 Units / -21.05% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 21-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.45 Units / 10.92% ROI).

  • 27-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.45 Units / 7.91% ROI
  • 23-14 when betting the Over for +7.6 Units / 18.67% ROI
  • 14-23 when betting the Under for -11.3 Units / -27.76% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (661 turnovers/70 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.6

North Carolina State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (894 assists/ 661 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (339 turnovers/36 games) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (339 turnovers/36 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue is shooting 41% from three (280/676) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Purdue is shooting 41% from three (280/676) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue has averaged 1.44 points per shot (2,773 points/1,927 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Purdue has averaged 1.38 points per shot (5,316 points/3,863 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 8.4 steals per game (336 steals/40 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

North Carolina State has 534 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has 268 steals this season — 3rd most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has 268 steals this season — tied for 8th most among Power Conference teams

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,774 points/1,578 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (1,046 points/1,014 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.14

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,297 points/2,069 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (4,493 points/4,093 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.