North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 24

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Virginia head coach Tony Bennett reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2024, 10:45 AM
  • Virginia (10-8) is a -6.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (8-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • North Carolina State / Virginia TV channel: ACCN

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (8-10) visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (10-8) on Jan. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlottesville, VA.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The North Carolina State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+6.5 -115O 130.5 -105+210
Virginia -6.5 -105U 130.5 -115-275

North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+3.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+11.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+8.25 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.35 Units / 14% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 5.89% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 22.17% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Under for -6.05 Units / -30.63% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 11-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI).

  • 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 2.99% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.3 Units / -26.5% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.35 Units / 17.05% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (500 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

North Carolina State has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (500 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

North Carolina State has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (500 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

North Carolina State has averaged 77.6 points per game (4,035 points/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (802 assists/ 429 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (283 assists/ 148 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (802 assists/ 429 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (272 assists/ 172 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 8.2 steals per game (147 steals/18 games) this season — 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (413 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

North Carolina State has 413 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.9 steals per game (285 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has allowed 55.8 points per game (1,787 points/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.0

Virginia has allowed 58.2 points per game (1,048 points/18 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 70.3

Virginia has allowed 26.9 points per game (1,371 points/51 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.1

Virginia has allowed 25.6 points per game (461 points/18 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.