- Virginia (17-14) is a -2.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (15-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 121.5 points
- North Carolina State / Virginia TV channel: ESPN2
The North Carolina State Wolfpack (15-18) visit Capital One Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (17-14) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Washington, DC.
Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The North Carolina State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 121.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina State | +2.5 -110 | O 121.5 -110 | +125 |
| Virginia | -2.5 -110 | U 121.5 -110 | -150 |
North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+5.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+3.15 Units / 4% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+6.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)
North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina State has a 15-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.9 Units / -13.07% ROI).
- 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 5.29% ROI
- 19-14 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 9.61% ROI
- 14-19 when betting the Under for -6.85 Units / -18.34% ROI
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.51% ROI).
- 20-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 6.45% ROI
- 14-18 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -16.93% ROI
- 18-14 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 7.71% ROI
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7
North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (474 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (299 assists/ 189 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (364 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams
North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (307 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5
North Carolina State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7
North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (445 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6
Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6
Virginia has allowed 55.2 points per game (1,931 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.1
Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (953 points/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1
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