North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 15

Virginia head coach Tony Bennett reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
  • Virginia (17-14) is a -2.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (15-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 121.5 points
  • North Carolina State / Virginia TV channel: ESPN2

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (15-18) visit Capital One Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (17-14) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Washington, DC.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The North Carolina State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 121.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+2.5 -110O 121.5 -110+125
Virginia -2.5 -110U 121.5 -110-150

North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+5.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+3.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+6.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 15-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.9 Units / -13.07% ROI).

  • 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 5.29% ROI
  • 19-14 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 9.61% ROI
  • 14-19 when betting the Under for -6.85 Units / -18.34% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.51% ROI).

  • 20-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 6.45% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -16.93% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 7.71% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (474 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (299 assists/ 189 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (364 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (307 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

North Carolina State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (445 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 55.2 points per game (1,931 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.1

Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (953 points/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1


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Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.

Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.